Theory of Change

The Summary

The Situation

The Citizenry

Since the late 1970’s, within the US, and around the world, most of us have been having a harder and harder time making financial end meet. This is leading to emotional stress, loss of housing, poor health, lack of access to healthy food, divorce, mental illness, etc.

This is rooted in technological changes, that are moving the human from the center of the means of production of goods and services, to the periphery. And is also changing the economy itself, significantly reducing the availability of living wage employment.

Additionally, the very system we live in, that is now damaging most people, is also damaging the environment.

Unfortunately the prevailing system lacks the tools to resolve this, and I will point to why this is. Fortunately, you and I, and our friends may yet turn the tide, if we select to work together to make it so. If we fail to act, this trend will likely only get worse, with each passing day.

As recently as 100-150 years ago this would have not been such a calamity. People were not so reliant on money to buy the necessities of life. Instead people could grow food, build their home, care for and use natures bounty for energy, wellness care, transportation, etc,  and exchange with their neighbors for what each had an abundance of.

Today we can do the same, and many people have recognized this, and yet the suffering is increasing. The reason for this is rooted in that most people no longer have access to land and materials, or the free time to use them well.

The focus of this theory of change is designed to overcome this challenge of our time. And show a way to regain widespread access to the land, and basic resources, to allow all who so wish, or need, to sustain themselves, and each other, regardless of the amount of cash on hand, and in harmony with the environment.

Given the economy is changing, due to labor displacing technological innovations, consolidation of wealth and power, and the resulting lack of profitable new investments. If we fail to take responsibility now, we may find ourselves in a world even more dominated by force of the few, over the many.

If we take the responsibility now, to build a global network of low cost, sustainable villages, we may yet avoid this outcome. As well as to establish a basis, for better things to come.

Government

Government officials wanting to serve the interests of their constituents, have a very limited ability to assure access to necessities of life. The reason for this is that government does not produce much in the way of employment, food, housing, transportation, energy, communication, wellness care, etc.

Instead elected officials negotiate with the owners and leaders of global Industry to encourage industry to produce within their jurisdictions, pollute less within their jurisdiction, and fund their ballooning deficit. As well as sell more of their basic necessities, for a low enough price, that more of the citizenry, can afford to purchase these goods and services.

Given government is local in nature, and global Industry is not. The result is that Industry can select some jurisdictions and not others, thereby pitting one jurisdiction against the other, for most favorable arrangements.  Arrangements such as sighting locations for production, tax advantages, subsidies, government contracts, minimum wage rates, as well as rates and amount of funding of government deficits.

While government in theory could legislate for a basic income for all in need.  If they do, these funds would need to come from eithor a signifacant sales tax increase, on non essental goods and services.  Signifacant tax increases on larger industry, and high income earners.  Or significant increases in the national debt, with no way to pay back over the longer term.

Given this, the more government officials assert the interests of their citizens, the less business, industry will conduct in that jurisdiction.  Leading to layoffs, increasing cost of industries goods and services,  decreasing corperate taxes, and increasing rates to fund government debt, etc.

The end result is, that government has little power to significantly improve conditions for their citizenry, in most areas that significantly effect large  Industry or the most wealthy.

The Owners and Leaders of Global Industry

The owners and leaders of global industry are also trapped in regards to resolving the impacts on people and the environment.  The owners and leaders of global industry remain in that role on condition that they are the maximizers of profit, and generate maximum return on investment.  If they fail to do so, before long they are bought out, or go out of business.   Then others who did a better job at maximizing profit carry on as the new owners and leaders of global industry.  Which in the end fails to change the underlying issues, within the prevailing socioeconomic system.

Because industries long term model of maximizing profit, is rooted in replacing human labor with automated processes, industries very model of maximizing profit, is causing them a significant and costly side effect. This side effect is an increasingly out of work population, that no longer can afford their products or services.

Given this, now both Industry, and most citizens, are competing for supplemental income assistance from government.  Here is where a widespread network of sustainable villages can solve our own problems, as well as theirs!

Here there is a basis to come to the proverbial table, to resolve our mutual problems, as any two business entities typically do.

As a widespread network of sustainable villages becomes established, the trillions of dollars spent by governments each year, to fund the poorly effective social safety-net, can begin to decline.  Leaving governments more funds to purchase industries products and services.  As well as to pay the interest on the mounting governments debts.

As a result, it is in both Industry and governments social and economic interests, to provide modest amounts of start up seed money, non prime land, tools, materials, and relaxed codes, to assist organizations who are successful in establishing low cost, sustainable, homesteads, communities, and villages, for the ever increasing number of people in need.

Thereby empowering more and more people to become much more self reliant,  able to rely on ones neighbor, and their communities,  with less and less ongoing reliance on government funding.

This is a win win solution, serving rich, poor and the environment alike!

The Solution

Given, current approaches to sustaining the poor and redundant population, who are now the majority, are based on old, out dated, high cost, low return models and methods.  If we can deploy participant driven, sustainable and uplifting, model villages, at a much lower cost, we can begin to gain the political and economic support to scale up the deployment of such solutions.

To gain the political and economic support of the prevailing system, we must first recognize that most humans are not only no longer necessary, within the prevailing system, we must recognize we are becoming a liability within the prevailing system.  And we must demonstrate our ability resolve this in very low cost, sustainable, and uplifting ways.

If we can establish such model villages, over time funding will begin to increase for low cost participant driven, village approaches, and decrease for high cost government managed approaches.  Currently government managed safety-net approaches, as well as private  philanthropic approaches together spend around a trillion dollars a year, in the US alone.

If we can establish a widespread network of much lower cost per person villages, people in need will become less dependent on government managed and funded approaches.  Thereby making it possible for government to significantly reduce funding over time, for the high cost social safety-net. While at the same time seeing opportunity for their citizenry improve.

This frees law makers to distribute the cost savings as they, or their lobbyists see fit. Which in the end serves the interests of the owners and leaders of industry, as more of their products and services can be purchased by the buyer of last recourse, government.

If we can demonstrate this economic advantage to the owners and leaders of industry, as well as to government, we are likely to gain their modest support to access land, funding, and code reform.  Thereby empowering a widespread network of agrarian, craft, and small business based villages, that regenerate the environment, and provide homes and employment to all in need, or so wish.

Labor unions once served the role of negotiator / intermediary between the citizenry (labor) and the owners and leaders of industry.  Today as the role of human labor for global industry is diminishing, so is the role of the labor union.

Today the pressing relationship between the citizenry, and global industry,  is how to cope with the problem of the unemployed and underemployed majority.  For this we may establish a villagers union.  A union to advocate for our access to land, materials, and code reform.  Such advocacy can free us to use our time, to sustain both ourselves, and our neighbors well.  Even as living wage employment becomes increasingly no longer available on a widespread basis.

If we fail to do this, the increasing numbers of people, who are going over the economic edge, will become increasingly dependent on government. Forcing government to continue to cut programs or increase entitlement spending.  As more programs are cut, more law enforcement is deployed to manage the increasing number of desperate people.

To avoid such an eventuality, we instead may establish a network of low cost, sustainable agrarian, craft, and small business based villages, for all who need, or so wish.

From Theory and Strategy, to Action

To start we will need a capable team of people, wanting to establish one or more pilot projects.

This will require generating an initial (low cost) funding stream. The contingent pledge menu outlines short to mid term, infrastructure and operating costs.  In time this approach is both environmentally and financially self sustaining.

The in progress villager manual seeks to answer a range of specific program policy questions.  As well as provide a dispute resolution format.

There is a slideshow presentation to provide an overview of the project.

There are 2 introductory brochures, a Facebook page and a website.

To regenerate the environment, and empower the people, we will need a network of at least 4 million sustainable villages world wide, to address the current need, as soon as we are able.

A New, Kind and Sustainable, Prevailing Paradigm

As our network of sustainable villages becomes established, power will also be changing.  The reason for this is that the number of owners and leaders of global industry are relatively few (an Oligopoly), over time one entity does and better job of maximizing profit than another, and buys them out, or puts them out of business, leading to fewer owners and leaders.  Over time, the oligopolistic socioeconomic system  is shrinking in number, to more closely resemble a monopoly!

The closer we get to socioeconomic monopoly consolidation, the less profitable investments there are.  As profitable investments decline, the prevailing system will become increasingly mired in a high priced, global socioeconomic, great depression.

If we have done a good job at establishing a widespread network of Sustainable Villages for all who wish or need.  We at that point may be more able to communicate, collaborate, and work together, and therefor more able to act in our own interests, than the old paradigm, thereby rendering villages, the heart of the new prevailing paradigm!

If you have thoughts about this, an alternative strategy, and or, support this course of action, lets talk!

Sincerely,

Jayme Delson

jayme@humboldt1.com

Copyright © 2020 Jayme Delson. All Rights Reserved